A new national tracking poll by Global InfoAnalytics offers a preview of Ghana’s 2028 presidential race, placing former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and Education Minister Haruna Iddrisu as front-runners for their parties in what may become one of the most defining elections in the country’s Fourth Republic.
The July 2025 poll, conducted across 84 constituencies with a sample of 10,493 respondents, provides early insights into the race to lead the New Patriotic Party (NPP) and the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
Dr. Bawumia commands 56% of general voter preference in the NPP leadership race—an 8-point increase from the April 2025 poll (48%).
His closest rival, Kennedy Agyapong, trails with 23%, while Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum garners 9%.
Among NPP supporters, Bawumia’s dominance is even stronger, commanding 70% support.
Interestingly, 50% of NDC voters also say they prefer Bawumia as the NPP’s next flagbearer, hinting at rare cross-party appeal.
On the NDC front, former Minority Leader and current Education Minister, Hon. Haruna Iddrisu, leads a tight race with 27% support from general voters, narrowly edging past party chairman Johnson Asiedu Nketia (26%) and former Finance Minister Dr. Ato Forson (22%). Among NDC supporters, Haruna secures 30%, ahead of the party chairman’s 24%.
The numbers reflect a competitive and still-fluid contest, with room for shifts as the election cycle progresses.
